White women cost Kerry the election

Why hasn't there been more focus or analysis on this? Security moms were not a myth. The numbers are crystal:

White Women:
2000 Bush 49 Gore 48%
2004 Bush 55 Kerry 44%

That's the election. You can't fade a 10% loss in the largest voting block, 41% of the electorate, and expect to make it up anywhere else.

The other major voting blocks stayed very similar:

White Men:
2000 Bush 60 Gore 36%
2004 Bush 62 Kerry 37%

African Americans:
2000 Gore 90 Bush 9%
2004 Kerry 88 Bush 11%

Terrorism fear obviously swayed white women, probably married white women, toward Bush as a security blanket. I couldn't figure out the 5 point difference in the Florida presidential and senate races until I checked the numbers among white women. They broke 49-49 for Castor and Martinez, no doubt the natural tendency. But with the national security concern atop the ticket, it changed to Bush 56 Kerry 43.

 



Display:


This is one white woman (none / 0)

who isn't scared by terrorists.  But I am terrified of George Bush and his cronies, and I am not the only white woman in NH who feels this way.  Unfortunately, there are too many out there who are unable to read or think.
http://www.carolforcongress.com
by nhselectwoman on Tue Nov 09, 2004 at 07:22:21 AM EST

wacky polling (none / 0)

Where are these numbers from?

They certainly don't add up. Bush won with a 51-48 margin, and you have whites of both genders and blacks going more to Kerry. So what source is this from?

The polls I've seen show the exact oppposite with males for Bush. True, he gained some with women, but he lost some with men, which made the election still close.  These poll numbers above play out as a 10-15% Bush margin, which just didn't happen.

It is interesting that the gender gap closed, on both sides.

by Jerome Armstrong on Tue Nov 09, 2004 at 08:02:25 AM EST

strange logic, (none / 0)

since even your numbers indicate white men voted overwhelmingly for Bush.

Women not only voted in larger numbers than men, but more for Kerry than Bush

From CNN Exit Polls:

<img src="http://img51.exs.cx/img51/7525/exit_polls.jpg">

by scout on Tue Nov 09, 2004 at 10:41:40 AM EST


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